1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,190 Hurricane Harvey, Irma, and Maria 2 00:00:02,210 --> 00:00:04,300 wreaked havoc when they made landfall. 3 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:07,120 They were all categorized as major hurricanes, 4 00:00:07,140 --> 00:00:12,300 but part of what made them so dangerous was how they rapidly intensified before moving inland. 5 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:16,210 When hurricanes intensify a large amount in a short period, 6 00:00:16,230 --> 00:00:19,290 scientists call this process rapid intensification. 7 00:00:19,310 --> 00:00:24,500 This is the hardest aspect of a storm to forecast and it can be most critical to people’s lives. 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,890 While any hurricane can threaten lives and cause damage 9 00:00:27,910 --> 00:00:30,740 with storm surges, floods, and extreme winds, 10 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,810 a rapidly intensifying hurricane can greatly increase these risks 11 00:00:34,830 --> 00:00:38,570 while giving populations limited time to prepare and evacuate. 12 00:00:38,590 --> 00:00:43,030 Rapid intensification occurs when a hurricane’s maximum sustained winds 13 00:00:43,050 --> 00:00:49,280 increase at least 35 miles per hour in 24 hours and often results in major hurricanes. 14 00:00:49,300 --> 00:00:53,530 The latest Atlantic storm to rapidly intensify was Hurricane Maria, 15 00:00:53,550 --> 00:00:58,860 which developed from a Category 1 to a Category 5 hurricane in less than 18 hours. 16 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:03,560 In the past few decades, forecasting errors for tracking hurricanes have decreased. 17 00:01:03,580 --> 00:01:07,440 While intensity forecast errors have shown recent improvement, 18 00:01:07,460 --> 00:01:11,850 significant errors can still occur because of rapidly intensifying storms. 19 00:01:11,870 --> 00:01:18,090 There are, however, clues to a rapidly intensifying hurricane that can be seen from NASA satellites. 20 00:01:18,110 --> 00:01:22,580 Scientists say ocean water needs to be warm - 80 Degrees Fahrenheit or higher. 21 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,130 There also needs to be low vertical wind shear, 22 00:01:25,150 --> 00:01:27,780 meaning winds that don’t change much with altitude, 23 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:31,840 so that the central part of the storm doesn’t get tilted over or ripped apart. 24 00:01:31,860 --> 00:01:35,530 A key indicator of a potentially rapidly intensifying storm 25 00:01:35,550 --> 00:01:39,410 storm is a symmetrical, deep ring of precipitation surrounding the eye. 26 00:01:39,430 --> 00:01:44,300 Rapidly intensifying storms typically occur up to twice in a hurricane season. 27 00:01:44,320 --> 00:01:48,350 But in 2017, we have seen four storms rapidly intensify 28 00:01:48,370 --> 00:01:52,910 and scientists attribute this to warmer ocean waters and favorable winds. 29 00:01:52,930 --> 00:01:56,660 But these key ingredients don’t always lead to rapid intensification 30 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,090 -- proving that it’s a much more complex problem. 31 00:01:59,110 --> 00:02:05,460 Researchers say there are many small-scale processes, such as those associated with deep thunderstorms, 32 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:08,570 that influence how strong a hurricane becomes. 33 00:02:08,590 --> 00:02:11,780 Satellites such as NASA’s Global Precipitation Measurement Mission 34 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,140 can observe precipitation inside evolving storms 35 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:21,280 and help scientists better understand how these processes come together to intensify hurricanes. 36 00:02:21,300 --> 00:02:33,879