WEBVTT FILE 1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:00.680 2 00:00:00.700 --> 00:00:05.870 Forests are always changing. They're a very dynamic ecosystem. 3 00:00:05.890 --> 00:00:08.020 We've used data from the Landsat satellites 4 00:00:08.040 --> 00:00:10.110 to produce a comprehensive look at forest dynamics 5 00:00:10.130 --> 00:00:13.100 on the scale of human management and natural disturbances. 6 00:00:13.120 --> 00:00:16.890 Dark green pixels had no disturbances in the 25 years studied. 7 00:00:16.910 --> 00:00:20.380 Yellow shows where a disturbance happened in a particular year. 8 00:00:20.400 --> 00:00:24.450 At this scale, what really stands out are the large fires in the West 9 00:00:24.470 --> 00:00:29.320 and timber harvesting in the Pacific Northwest, Maine, and all across the Southeast. 10 00:00:29.340 --> 00:00:32.630 We need to know the rate of disturbance and how that rate is changing 11 00:00:32.650 --> 00:00:36.800 in order to understand how carbon is changing across the landscape. 12 00:00:36.820 --> 00:00:40.350 Here we can see the impact of policy decisions on forest dynamics 13 00:00:40.370 --> 00:00:42.980 The various protected areas around Broken Bow Lake 14 00:00:43.000 --> 00:00:44.140 remain largely undisturbed 15 00:00:44.160 --> 00:00:45.750 compared to the surrounding region, 16 00:00:45.770 --> 00:00:50.330 which flickers with the tell-tale patches of timber harvesting. 17 00:00:50.350 --> 00:00:53.310 Any disturbance, whether from fire or hurricanes, 18 00:00:53.330 --> 00:00:57.390 mining or logging, impacts how much carbon the forest can store. 19 00:00:57.410 --> 00:01:00.980 20 00:01:01.000 --> 00:01:02.940 The southern and central Appalachian Mountains, 21 00:01:02.960 --> 00:01:04.190 from Tennessee to West Virginia, 22 00:01:04.210 --> 00:01:05.910 are home to most of the disturbances 23 00:01:05.930 --> 00:01:09.030 resulting from mountaintop removal mining. 24 00:01:09.050 --> 00:01:12.780 Throughout Appalachia, coal mining has been a big industry since the 1860s, 25 00:01:12.800 --> 00:01:17.580 and mountaintop mining became dominant over the last 30 years. 26 00:01:17.600 --> 00:01:21.700 The Hobet Mine in Boone County, West Virginia, existed before 1986 27 00:01:21.720 --> 00:01:25.000 and has continued to expand throughout the course of this study. 28 00:01:25.020 --> 00:01:28.300 29 00:01:28.320 --> 00:01:30.160 The pattern we see at the Hobet Mine is 30 00:01:30.180 --> 00:01:34.970 replicated across the entire southern Appalachia. 31 00:01:34.990 --> 00:01:37.190 32 00:01:37.210 --> 00:01:39.460 We mostly think of hurricanes wreaking houses, 33 00:01:39.480 --> 00:01:41.930 flooding cities, and endangering lives. 34 00:01:41.950 --> 00:01:43.500 But they can also damage forests, 35 00:01:43.520 --> 00:01:46.080 knocking down wide swaths of trees. 36 00:01:46.100 --> 00:01:48.040 Hurricane Hugo was a category 4 storm 37 00:01:48.060 --> 00:01:51.400 when it struck South Carolina in September of 1989, 38 00:01:51.420 --> 00:01:55.130 and the scale of the disturbance shows in the 1990 data. 39 00:01:55.150 --> 00:01:56.780 Four and a half million acres of forest 40 00:01:56.800 --> 00:02:00.380 were affected by wind gusts and storm surges of salt water. 41 00:02:00.400 --> 00:02:01.680 Disturbances of this magnitude 42 00:02:01.700 --> 00:02:03.580 can release large amounts of carbon dioxide 43 00:02:03.600 --> 00:02:07.500 into the atmosphere as the trees decompose. 44 00:02:07.520 --> 00:02:11.390 Tornadoes leave long tracks of damaged forests in their wake 45 00:02:11.410 --> 00:02:14.190 showing as a bright line in the satellite imagery. 46 00:02:14.210 --> 00:02:18.540 These long straight tracks are extremely distinctive of this type of disturbance. 47 00:02:18.560 --> 00:02:20.060 On Mother's Day in 2008, 48 00:02:20.080 --> 00:02:23.840 several tornadoes in Georgia left a track 150 kilometers long 49 00:02:23.860 --> 00:02:27.990 and about 2 kilometers wide. 50 00:02:28.010 --> 00:02:30.320 For many tree species in the Rocky Mountain West, 51 00:02:30.340 --> 00:02:32.240 fire is a natural part of their life cycle, 52 00:02:32.260 --> 00:02:34.780 clearing space for new growth on the forest floor 53 00:02:34.800 --> 00:02:37.320 and releasing seeds from their pinecones. 54 00:02:37.340 --> 00:02:39.100 But climate change is projected to increase 55 00:02:39.120 --> 00:02:41.480 the intensity and frequency of wildfires. 56 00:02:41.500 --> 00:02:43.320 In 1988, Yellowstone National Park 57 00:02:43.340 --> 00:02:45.760 endured the largest fire ever recorded there. 58 00:02:45.780 --> 00:02:49.040 Many individual fires combined to damage 36% of the park, 59 00:02:49.060 --> 00:02:50.720 burning for several months. 60 00:02:50.740 --> 00:02:52.020 The scale of the disturbance 61 00:02:52.040 --> 00:02:55.520 is apparent in the following year's disturbance map. 62 00:02:55.540 --> 00:02:59.280 Less than 30% of the burned area re-gained forest cover by 2008. 63 00:02:59.300 --> 00:03:01.250 and the rate of recovery across Yellowstone 64 00:03:01.270 --> 00:03:02.710 has been quite variable, 65 00:03:02.730 --> 00:03:06.360 depending on the fire intensity and local conditions. 66 00:03:06.380 --> 00:03:07.600 Forests have always dealt with 67 00:03:07.620 --> 00:03:10.250 outbreaks of insects that can damage trees. 68 00:03:10.270 --> 00:03:12.680 Northern Colorado, near Rocky Mountain National Park, 69 00:03:12.700 --> 00:03:13.890 did not have severe damage 70 00:03:13.910 --> 00:03:16.710 from Mountain Pine Beetle before 2003. 71 00:03:16.730 --> 00:03:19.180 But the damage starts appearing in 2004 72 00:03:19.200 --> 00:03:20.500 in low areas, 73 00:03:20.520 --> 00:03:23.810 and spreads to higher elevations over the next few years. 74 00:03:23.830 --> 00:03:25.920 Climage change might result in more frequent episodes 75 00:03:25.940 --> 00:03:28.430 and trees less able to withstand the stress, 76 00:03:28.450 --> 00:03:30.980 but this will vary from region to region. 77 00:03:31.000 --> 00:03:32.040 78 00:03:32.060 --> 00:03:34.190 Forests are a dynamic ecosystem. 79 00:03:34.210 --> 00:03:35.910 And we need to know how fast they change 80 00:03:35.930 --> 00:03:37.740 and what is driving those changes if we ever hope 81 00:03:37.760 --> 00:03:38.830 to track how much carbon 82 00:03:38.850 --> 00:03:40.380 they're pulling out of the atmosphere 83 00:03:40.400 --> 00:03:41.920 and storing for us. 84 00:03:41.940 --> 00:03:44.730 The Landsat archive, and other remote sensing systems, 85 00:03:44.750 --> 00:03:46.230 provide the means to map and measure 86 00:03:46.250 --> 00:03:50.280 disturbance rates over the last 40 years. 87 00:03:50.300 --> 00:03:57.885